Alaska Governor winner?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 22:59 UTCCloses 3 Nov 2027 (in 13 mo)
Most likely: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 86% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Bernadette Wilson | 15% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Bill Walker | 2% | — |
Lesil McGuire | 1% | — |
Treg Taylor | <1% | ▲ 0.4 pts |
Mary Peltola | <1% | — |
Click Bishop | <1% | — |
Dave Bronson | <1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Alaska Governor winner”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the most likely outcome at 86% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 3 Nov 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.