Elections odds
Elections, polls, parties and politics worldwide. Live prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, most traded first.
2026 midterms: Senate, House and governor oddsEvery race on one page, Polymarket and Kalshi side by side- PolymarketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms68%Democrats Sweep
- Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?66%Democrats sweep
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?91%Democratic Party
- PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by...?49%December 31
- PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election76%Flávio Bolsonaro
- PolymarketWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?68%Democratic Party
- PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?99%October 22
- KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Florida?98%Transgender
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?68%Democratic Party
- PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory50%Other
- PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?49%Gadi Eizenkot
- PolymarketWhich party will win the House in 2026?93%Democratic Party
- PolymarketSerbia Parliamentary Election Winner71%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- PolymarketFrance declares state of emergency by...?14%December 31
- KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?38%Above 52
- PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?68%Aleksandar Vučić
- KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?35%Below 193
- KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?20%48
- PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?57%March 31
- KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?17%234-237
- KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)61%Below 53
- PolymarketBulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory58%Iotova 10-20%
- PolymarketTexas Senate Election Winner67%James Talarico (D)
- PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by...?85%December 31
- PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?53%December 31, 2027
- KalshiBlue wave in 2026?85%Yes
- PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá65%Flavio Bolsonaro
- PolymarketBulgaria Presidential Election87%Iliana Iotova
- PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?5%Yes
- PolymarketMichigan Senate Election Winner72%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?<1%Yes
- KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?97%Transgender
- KalshiUS-Iran nuclear deal?16%Before Feb 1, 2027
- PolymarketKansas Senate Election Winner62%Roger Marshall (R)
- PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5%December 31
- PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner70%Yashar
- PolymarketNebraska Senate Election Winner 74%Pete Ricketts (R)
- KalshiHow many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)99%At least 2
- KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?93%Save America Act
- PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?65%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
- PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?2%Yes
- KalshiClosest Senate race in 2026?16%Iowa
- PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?67%Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
- PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner63%Chiang Wan-an
- PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?90%No Hormuz Agreement
- PolymarketTexas Governor Election Winner72%Greg Abbott (R)
- PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027?49%None before 2027
- KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)99%Above 1
- PolymarketIowa Senate Election Winner57%Ashley Hinson (R)
- PolymarketUS imports Russian diesel by...?86%December 31
- PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17%Yes
- PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?21%Yes
- PolymarketIran coup attempt by...?27%December 31, 2027
- PolymarketOhio Governor Election Winner83%Amy Acton (D)
- PolymarketOhio Senate Election Winner70%Sherrod Brown (D)
- PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?35%Jared Kushner
- PolymarketIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?43%20-24
- KalshiWill Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?8%Yes
- PolymarketTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by...?37%Yes
- PolymarketNevada Governor Election Winner68%Aaron Ford (D)