Longer reads on forecasting, market structure and how crowds price the future.
Kalshi had 47 open roles in October 2026, almost all in its New York office. Which teams are hiring, the kinds of jobs listed, what headcount estimates say, the trading restrictions staff accept, and tips for applying.
Polymarket had 44 open roles in October 2026, mostly in New York with nine remote. Which teams are hiring, example jobs, its growth plans and internship program, and what to know before applying.
Robinhood sells event contracts from Kalshi and other exchanges inside its brokerage app; Kalshi is the exchange itself. How the fees compare at different prices, where each has more markets, and who should use which.
The Winklevoss twins’ crypto exchange won a CFTC exchange licence in December 2025 and launched Gemini Predictions for US users. What you can trade, how it is funded and settled, its fees, and how it compares with Kalshi and Coinbase.
Prediction markets make Democrat Amy Acton about a 77% favourite over Vivek Ramaswamy in the 3 November Ohio governor race, in line with most October polls. The odds, the margin market, the polls and what could still move it.
Prediction markets give Xavier Becerra about a 96% chance of beating Steve Hilton for California governor on 3 November. The odds on both platforms, the margin markets, the polls, and how to think about a 96% favourite.
Novig went from a sweepstakes app to a CFTC-regulated sports exchange in 2026. How peer-to-peer trading on Novig works, the 21+ rule and the three excluded states, what it costs, and how it compares with Kalshi and ProphetX.
ProphetX dropped its sweepstakes model in June 2026 and relaunched as a CFTC-regulated sports exchange in 49 states. How it works, what it charges, the Connecticut order, and how it compares with Kalshi and Novig.
Prediction markets make Karen Bass a slight favourite to win the 3 November Los Angeles mayoral runoff, while the latest Berkeley poll has Nithya Raman ahead. The odds on both platforms, the primary results, and why markets and polls disagree.
