How low will BTC get in October?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 23:00 UTCCloses 15 Oct 2026 (closing)
Most likely: Below $80,000.00
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Below $80,000.00 | 99% | — |
Below $77,500.00 | 44% | ▲ 9.0 pts |
Below $75,000.00 | 18% | — |
Below $72,500.00 | 5% | ▼ 6.0 pts |
Below $70,000.00 | 4% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Below $67,500.00 | 3% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Below $65,000.00 | 2% | — |
Below $62,500.00 | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “How low will BTC get in October”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Below $80,000.00 as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 15 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More crypto markets
- KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 202615%80,000 to 84,999.99
- KalshiWill BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?8%Yes
- KalshiWill Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?1%Yes
- PolymarketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?54%↑ 90,000
- PolymarketWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?69%↓ 2,250
- KalshiHow high will BTC get in October?21%Above $87,500.00
Latest crypto news
- Phantom Rolls Out Kalshi Prediction Markets to U.S. Users with Funding via its CASH Stablecoin23 Oct 2026
- Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports23 Oct 2026
- Pentagon bans personnel from using insider information to trade on prediction markets23 Oct 2026
- BNB Price Prediction: Binance.US Eyes Prediction Markets as Pepeto Stakers Target 300x23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.