Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 23:39 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Above 4 inches
All outcomes (6)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 4 inches | 91% | ▲ 22.0 pts |
Above 2 inches | 82% | ▲ 6.0 pts |
Above 6 inches | 61% | ▲ 20.0 pts |
Above 10 inches | 54% | ▼ 19.0 pts |
Above 8 inches | 43% | ▼ 27.0 pts |
Above 12 inches | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the total snowfall in Chicago (O'Hare) in December 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 4 inches as the most likely outcome at 91% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More climate & weather markets
- KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 23, 2026?99%Albuquerque
- KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 23, 2026?73%59° to 60°
- KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 23, 2026?54%81° to 82°
- KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 23, 2026?67%71° to 72°
- KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?86%Albuquerque
- KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 23, 2026?71%71° to 72°
Latest climate & weather news
- Tinned mackerel, hand-crank radios and bags for poo: crisis-prepping guides around the world23 Oct 2026
- Martin Rowson on the approval of the Jackdaw gasfield – cartoon23 Oct 2026
- The US west has lost nearly 300 glaciers since the 1960s. Climate crisis is drastically shrinking what’s left23 Oct 2026
- At Cop17, the pressure is on to rescue a deal that could end the destruction of nature23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.