Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:18 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Below 1,400.00
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Below 1,400.00 | 88% | ▲ 66.0 pts |
Below 1,450.00 | 80% | ▲ 74.0 pts |
Below 1,650.00 | 80% | — |
Below 1,600.00 | 77% | — |
Below 1,350.00 | 73% | ▲ 66.0 pts |
Below 1,550.00 | 59% | ▼ 33.0 pts |
Below 1,250.00 | 29% | ▲ 22.0 pts |
Below 1,300.00 | 25% | ▲ 18.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,400.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Below 1,400.00 as the most likely outcome at 88% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.