Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:14 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: $150M
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
$150M | 73% | ▲ 7.5 pts |
$300M | 39% | ▼ 0.5 pts |
$500M | 21% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
$800M | 9% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
$1B | 5% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
$3B | 2% | — |
$2B | 2% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price $150M as the most likely outcome at 73% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More crypto markets
- KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 202615%80,000 to 84,999.99
- KalshiWill BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?8%Yes
- KalshiWill Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?1%Yes
- PolymarketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?54%↑ 90,000
- PolymarketWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?69%↓ 2,250
- KalshiHow high will BTC get in October?21%Above $87,500.00
Latest crypto news
- Phantom Rolls Out Kalshi Prediction Markets to U.S. Users with Funding via its CASH Stablecoin23 Oct 2026
- Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports23 Oct 2026
- Pentagon bans personnel from using insider information to trade on prediction markets23 Oct 2026
- BNB Price Prediction: Binance.US Eyes Prediction Markets as Pepeto Stakers Target 300x23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.