Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:52 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: $700M
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
$700M | 5% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
$100M | 5% | — |
$300M | 5% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
$500M | 4% | ▲ 0.3 pts |
$1B | 4% | ▼ 1.5 pts |
$2B | 2% | — |
$3B | 2% | — |
$4B | 2% | ▲ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price $700M as the most likely outcome at 5% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.