Next James Bond actor?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:00 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Jack Lowden
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Jack Lowden | 38% | ▲ 1.9 pts |
Callum Turner | 19% | ▼ 1.6 pts |
No Bond chosen | 18% | ▲ 0.7 pts |
Josh O'Connor | 12% | ▲ 3.5 pts |
Jacob Elordi | 6% | ▲ 1.7 pts |
Jack Barton | 3% | ▼ 1.1 pts |
James Norton | 3% | ▲ 0.2 pts |
Tom Francis | 2% | ▼ 0.3 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Next James Bond actor”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Jack Lowden as the most likely outcome at 38% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.