Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 23:41 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: 50
All outcomes (4)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
50 | 53% | — |
20 | 14% | — |
10 | 5% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
5 | 5% | ▼ 2.1 pts |
How this market resolves
Will a coin launched in 2026 reach the top___?
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price 50 as the most likely outcome at 53% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.