LeBron James: Retirement
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:50 UTCCloses 15 Nov 2029 (in 37 mo)
Most likely: Before the 2029-30 season
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before the 2029-30 season | 91% | — |
Before the 2028-29 season | 76% | — |
Before the 2027-28 season | 39% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2029-30 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “LeBron James: Retirement”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before the 2029-30 season as the most likely outcome at 91% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 15 Nov 2029. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.