When will Drake release a new album?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 21:35 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2026 (in 9 days)
Most likely: Before Nov 1, 2026
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Nov 1, 2026 | 27% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 26% | ▲ 13.0 pts |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | 16% | — |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 16% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Before Oct 10, 2026 | 10% | — |
Before Sep 19, 2026 | 2% | — |
Before Oct 24, 2026 | 2% | — |
Before Sep 26, 2026 | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will Drake release a new album”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Nov 1, 2026 as the most likely outcome at 27% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.