What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:17 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 39 days)
Most likely: Rhode
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Rhode | 79% | — |
Skincare / Skin Care | 73% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Makeup | 55% | — |
e.l.f. / Elf | 45% | — |
Acquired / Acquisition | 31% | — |
Europe / European | 31% | — |
Adanola | 30% | — |
Billion | 26% | — |
How this market resolves
If Hailey Bieber says Rhode as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Rhode as the most likely outcome at 79% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More geopolitics markets
- PolymarketRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?>99%Yes
- PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?98%October 24
- PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?9%December 31
- PolymarketIran full airspace closure by...?38%December 31
- PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?3%Yes
- PolymarketSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?19%December 31
Latest geopolitics news
- White House says Melania Trump brokers truce for Ukraine city 'on brink of disaster'23 Oct 2026
- Pentagon Bans Military Insider Trading on Polymarket, Kalshi After $400K Betting Scandal23 Oct 2026
- Will Russia target Kyiv on...? Trading Odds & Predictions 202623 Oct 2026
- Hundreds of flights cancelled as Typhoon Champi shuts Taiwan23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.