What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 01:47 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 40 days)
Most likely: AI / Artificial Intelligence
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 75% | — |
Grok | 75% | — |
Starlink | 71% | — |
Tesla | 70% | — |
Starship | 56% | — |
Satellite | 55% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Starbase | 55% | — |
Trump | 55% | — |
How this market resolves
If Elon Musk says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price AI / Artificial Intelligence as the most likely outcome at 75% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More geopolitics markets
- PolymarketRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?>99%December 31
- PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?94%October 24
- PolymarketIran full airspace closure by...?46%December 31
- PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?9%December 31
- PolymarketUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?14%December 31
- PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?3%Yes
Latest geopolitics news
- White House says Melania Trump brokers truce for Ukraine city 'on brink of disaster'23 Oct 2026
- Pentagon Bans Military Insider Trading on Polymarket, Kalshi After $400K Betting Scandal23 Oct 2026
- Will Russia target Kyiv on...? Trading Odds & Predictions 202623 Oct 2026
- Hundreds of flights cancelled as Typhoon Champi shuts Taiwan23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.