What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 02:32 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 40 days)
Most likely: Economy / Economic
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Economy / Economic | 75% | — |
Democrat | 74% | ▲ 17.0 pts |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 70% | ▲ 12.0 pts |
Fraud | 65% | — |
Trump (3+ times) | 63% | — |
Working Class / Middle Class | 62% | — |
Iran / Iranian | 56% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
Inflation | 56% | ▲ 28.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If JD Vance says Economy / Economic as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Economy / Economic as the most likely outcome at 75% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.