What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 02:33 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 40 days)
Most likely: AI / Artificial Intelligence
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 78% | — |
Tokenized / Tokenization | 76% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Prediction Market | 71% | — |
Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 66% | — |
Active Trader / Active Trading | 63% | — |
Sport | 57% | — |
Perp / Perpetual | 55% | — |
Social | 55% | — |
How this market resolves
If Vlad Tenev says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price AI / Artificial Intelligence as the most likely outcome at 78% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.