Anthropic IPO by __?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:01 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: December 31, 2026
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
December 31, 2026 | 82% | ▼ 6.0 pts |
December 15, 2026 | 73% | ▼ 10.5 pts |
November 30, 2026 | 63% | ▼ 9.5 pts |
November 25, 2026 | 51% | ▲ 8.0 pts |
November 20, 2026 | 39% | ▼ 0.5 pts |
November 15, 2026 | 3% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
October 31, 2026 | <1% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Anthropic IPO by __”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price December 31, 2026 as the most likely outcome at 82% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.