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Polymarket

"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:47 UTCCloses 25 Oct 2026 (in 34 h)

Most likely: 21-22.5M

45%▲ 23.0 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
46%31%16%

All outcomes (5)

OutcomeChance24h
21-22.5M
45%▲ 23.0 pts
22.5-24M
29%▲ 1.0 pts
19.5-21M
17%▼ 8.5 pts
24M+
12%▼ 8.5 pts
<19.5M
2%▼ 17.1 pts

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 21-22.5M as the most likely outcome at 45% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 25 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.