In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:45 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2028 (in 14 mo)
Most likely: November 2026
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
November 2026 | 58% | ▼ 16.0 pts |
December 2026 | 19% | ▲ 6.7 pts |
January 2027 | 11% | ▼ 0.8 pts |
April 2027 | 2% | ▲ 0.8 pts |
March 2027 | 2% | ▲ 0.8 pts |
May 2027 | 1% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
February 2027 | 1% | ▼ 0.4 pts |
No IPO before 2028 | <1% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “In which month will Anthropic IPO”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price November 2026 as the most likely outcome at 58% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More economy markets
- KalshiFed decision in Oct 2026?93%Fed maintains rate
- KalshiUS gas prices tomorrow99%Above 4.2550
- KalshiUS gas prices this week99%Above 4.1000
- KalshiNumber of rate cuts in 2026?94%Exactly 0 cuts
- KalshiNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?11%30,500 to 30,999.99
- KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?90%Before Feb 1, 2027
Latest economy news
- Kalshi Takes on Wall Street’s $7.6 Trillion Inflation Futures Curse23 Oct 2026
- Kalshi pitches a futures market tied to inflation - report (KALSHI:Private)23 Oct 2026
- Kalshi wants its new contracts to be a way to predict where markets are heading without buying stocks23 Oct 2026
- Jobless claims near the lowest since the 1960s as low-fire trend continues22 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.