MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 04:41 UTCClosed 1 Dec 2026
Most likely: Tampa Bay Rays
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Rays | 100% | ▲ 21.1 pts |
Baltimore Orioles | 0% | — |
Boston Red Sox | 0% | ▼ 5.0 pts |
New York Yankees | 0% | ▼ 10.0 pts |
Toronto Blue Jays | 0% | ▼ 1.8 pts |
Chicago White Sox | 0% | ▼ 14.2 pts |
Cleveland Guardians | 0% | ▼ 21.2 pts |
Detroit Tigers | 0% | ▼ 0.4 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “MLB: 2026 American League Champion”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Tampa Bay Rays as the most likely outcome at 100% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.