MLS Cup Winner 2026
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:13 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Nashville SC
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Nashville SC | 19% | ▲ 0.9 pts |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 18% | — |
Inter Miami CF | 17% | — |
St. Louis City SC | 7% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
Philadelphia Union | 6% | ▲ 1.9 pts |
FC Dallas | 5% | — |
Chicago Fire FC | 5% | — |
Los Angeles FC | 4% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “MLS Cup Winner 2026”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Nashville SC as the most likely outcome at 19% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.