OpenAI IPO by...?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:01 UTCCloses 1 Jul 2027 (in 8 mo)
Most likely: June 30, 2027
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
June 30, 2027 | 37% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
March 31, 2027 | 20% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
December 31, 2026 | 4% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “OpenAI IPO by...”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price June 30, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 37% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jul 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.