Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:55 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: December 31
All outcomes (2)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
December 31 | 94% | ▼ 1.5 pts |
October 31 | 93% | ▲ 1.7 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Putin meets with Iranian officials by...”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price December 31 as the most likely outcome at 94% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.