UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 00:23 UTCCloses 25 Oct 2026 (in 28 h)
Most likely: O/U 0.5 Rounds
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
O/U 0.5 Rounds | 92% | ▲ 15.5 pts |
O/U 1.5 Rounds | 79% | ▲ 4.0 pts |
O/U 2.5 Rounds | 67% | ▼ 0.5 pts |
Decision or Draw | 63% | ▲ 2.0 pts |
Fight to Go the Distance? | 63% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Fight won by decision? | 61% | ▲ 2.5 pts |
Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev | 51% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Ends before Round 3? | 28% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price O/U 0.5 Rounds as the most likely outcome at 92% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 25 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More sports markets
- KalshiGame 1: Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee63%Milwaukee
- KalshiButterfield Bermuda Championship Winner18%Eric Cole
- KalshiMeligeni Alves vs Zarate57%Felipe Meligeni Alves
- PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 202676%Harry Kane
- KalshiAfghanistan vs Zimbabwe99%Afghanistan
- PolymarketAlmaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov>99%Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov
Latest sports news
- Bayern Munich coach Kompany hospitalized after collapsing at training23 Oct 2026
- Bills' Franklin wins appeal; suspension for spitting reduced to fine23 Oct 2026
- Brewers' Woodruff, out since July, added to World Series roster23 Oct 2026
- Chase Elliott opts out of popular driver award to steer vote to Kyle Busch23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.