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Polymarket

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 05:10 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Chance of “Yes”

44%▼ 2.5 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
50%41%31%

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24h
Yes
44%▼ 2.5 pts
No
56%—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 44% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.