When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:13 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Before Jan 1, 2027
All outcomes (4)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 59% | ▲ 11.0 pts |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 21% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Jan 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 59% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More tech & ai markets
- KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?4%Before Jan 1, 2027
- KalshiGoogle market share this week99%Above 16.6%
- PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?94%December 31
- KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?50%Claude
- PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?75%No release by October 31
- KalshiOpenAI market share this week99%Above 14.7%
Latest tech & ai news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.