Kalshi

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Q: What are the odds for “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Democrats sweep as the most likely outcome at 67% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

Q: What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

Q: When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Feb 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Q: Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:51 UTCCloses 1 Feb 2027 (in 3 mo)

Most likely: Democrats sweep

67%▼ 2.0 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (4)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Democrats sweep	67%	▼ 2.0 pts
D-House, R-Senate	24%	▲ 1.0 pts
Republicans sweep	9%	▲ 0.4 pts
R-House, D-Senate	<1%	—

How this market resolves

If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Democrats sweep as the most likely outcome at 67% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Feb 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.