Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 01:02 UTCCloses 14 Oct 2026 (closing)
Most likely: San Diego, CA
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
San Diego, CA | 99% | — |
Tampa, FL | 99% | — |
Denver, CO | 93% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Las Vegas, NV | 90% | — |
Detroit, MI | 16% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Sacramento, CA | 15% | — |
Charlotte, NC | 8% | — |
New Orleans, LA | 7% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within San Diego, CA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Where will Waymo operate in 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price San Diego, CA as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 14 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.