Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 04:42 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2028 (in 14 mo)
Most likely: $1.75–$2.0T
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
$1.75–$2.0T | 28% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
$2.0–$2.25T | 22% | ▲ 4.5 pts |
$1.5–$1.75T | 20% | ▼ 2.2 pts |
$2.25–$2.5T | 11% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
$1.25–$1.5T | 7% | ▲ 0.1 pts |
<$1.25T | 5% | ▼ 0.5 pts |
$3.0T+ | 3% | ▲ 0.3 pts |
$2.5–$2.75T | 2% | ▼ 1.3 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price $1.75–$2.0T as the most likely outcome at 28% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.