NBA: LeBron James to Reach 45,000 Career Points in 2026-27?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 05:45 UTCCloses 26 Apr 2027 (in 6 mo)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 12% | — |
No | 88% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James reaches 45,000 or more career NBA regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only points scored in NBA regular season games count toward this total, regardless of the team LeBron James plays for. Points scored in the preseason, the NBA Play-In Tournament, the NBA Playoffs, the NBA Cup Championship game, or All-Star events will not count. LeBron James finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season with 43,440 career regular season points. If at any point it becomes impossible for LeBron James to reach 45,000 career regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season, including if he retires, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, before LeBron James reaches 45,000 career regular season points, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “NBA: LeBron James to Reach 45,000 Career Points in 2026-27”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 12% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 26 Apr 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More sports markets
- PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 202677%Harry Kane
- KalshiWho will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?77%Harry Kane
- PolymarketWorlds 2026: Winner50%Team I
- PolymarketChelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC52%Chelsea FC
- KalshiPro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner18%William Contreras
- PolymarketArsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets94%O/U 0.5
Latest sports news
- Bayern Munich coach Kompany hospitalized after collapsing at training23 Oct 2026
- Bills' Franklin wins appeal; suspension for spitting reduced to fine23 Oct 2026
- Brewers' Woodruff, out since July, added to World Series roster23 Oct 2026
- Chase Elliott opts out of popular driver award to steer vote to Kyle Busch23 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.