IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 05:45 UTCCloses 26 Oct 2026 (in 3 days)
Most likely: At least 205,000 points
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
At least 205,000 points | 92% | ▲ 15.0 pts |
At least 192,000 points | 88% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
At least 191,000 points | 86% | ▲ 4.0 pts |
At least 207,000 points | 84% | — |
At least 194,000 points | 80% | ▼ 15.0 pts |
At least 210,000 points | 75% | — |
At least 190,000 points | 74% | ▼ 10.0 pts |
At least 197,000 points | 74% | — |
How this market resolves
If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV), in native index points is at least 205,000 index points at the official B3 closing observation on October 26, 2026 (Brazil trading date), then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price At least 205,000 points as the most likely outcome at 92% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 26 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.