• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · D Senate, R House1¢▼ 0.1
  • Rockets vs. Spurs · Rockets vs. Spurs62¢▲ 27.5
  • Pelicans vs. Jazz · Pelicans vs. Jazz16¢▼ 29.0
  • Grizzlies vs. Warriors · Grizzlies vs. Warriors57¢▲ 14.5
  • NATO x Russia military clash by… · October 312¢▼ 15.1
  • Fed Decision in October · No change94¢
  • Fed Decision in October · 25 bps increase7¢▲ 1.0
  • Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Republicans Sweep8¢
  • Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic… · October 31100¢▲ 35.9
  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Br… · Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers0¢▼ 37.5
  • Trail Blazers vs. Kings · Trail Blazers vs. Kings90¢▲ 16.0
  • Army vs. Tulsa · Army vs. Tulsa38¢▼ 11.0
  • Brazil Presidential Election · Flávio Bolsonaro79¢▲ 2.4
  • Pelicans vs. Jazz · O/U 238.558¢▲ 7.5
  • Which party will win the Senate… · Democratic Party68¢▼ 1.0
  • Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep67¢▼ 2.0
  • Brazil Presidential Election · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20¢▼ 4.0
  • Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers vs. Lakers6¢▼ 18.0
Kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 03:52 UTCClosed 23 Oct 2026

Most likely: Transgender

99%▲ 2.0 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
99%98%97%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Transgender
99%▲ 2.0 pts
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
99%▲ 8.0 pts
Save America Act
99%▲ 3.0 pts
Dividend / Stimulus
99%▲ 2.0 pts
Hottest
99%▲ 8.0 pts
Stock Market
99%▲ 5.0 pts
Nuclear (3+ times)
99%▲ 9.0 pts
Kamala
99%▲ 24.0 pts

How this market resolves

If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “What will Trump say during his rally in Florida”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Transgender as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 23 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Latest elections news

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.