Michigan Governor Election Winner
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 05:47 UTCCloses 4 Nov 2026 (in 11 days)
Most likely: Jocelyn Benson (D)
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Jocelyn Benson (D) | 94% | ▼ 0.6 pts |
John James (R) | 6% | ▲ 0.6 pts |
Independent | <1% | — |
Option B | — | — |
Option C | — | — |
Option D | — | — |
Option E | — | — |
Option F | — | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Michigan Governor Election Winner”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Jocelyn Benson (D) as the most likely outcome at 94% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 4 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.