Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:05 UTCCloses 26 Oct 2026 (in 2 days)
Most likely: Aleksandar Vučić
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Aleksandar Vučić | 69% | ▼ 1.2 pts |
Person E | 50% | — |
Person F | 50% | — |
Person G | 50% | — |
Person H | 50% | — |
Person I | 50% | — |
Person J | 50% | — |
Person K | 50% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Next Prime Minister of Serbia”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Aleksandar Vučić as the most likely outcome at 69% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 26 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.