Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:54 UTCCloses 29 Nov 2026 (in 36 days)
Most likely: Chiang Wan-an
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Chiang Wan-an | 64% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Candidate A | 50% | — |
Candidate B | 50% | — |
Candidate C | 50% | — |
Candidate D | 50% | — |
Candidate E | 50% | — |
Candidate F | 50% | — |
Candidate G | 50% | — |
How this market resolves
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Taipei Mayor Election Winner”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Chiang Wan-an as the most likely outcome at 64% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 29 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.