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Polymarket

Trnava Mayoral Election Winner

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 22:24 UTCCloses 25 Oct 2026 (in 30 h)

Most likely: Eva Nemčovská

60%▲ 1.5 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
71%58%45%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Eva Nemčovská
60%▲ 1.5 pts
Person A
50%—
Person B
50%—
Person C
50%—
Person D
50%—
Person E
50%—
Person F
50%—
Person G
50%—

How this market resolves

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Trnava Mayoral Election Winner”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price Eva Nemčovská as the most likely outcome at 60% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 25 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.