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Polymarket

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:17 UTCCloses 25 Oct 2026 (in 25 h)

Most likely: Kevin Acton

98%▲ 6.4 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
96%82%69%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Kevin Acton
98%▲ 6.4 pts
Person A
50%—
Person B
50%—
Person C
50%—
Person D
50%—
Person E
50%—
Person F
50%—
Person G
50%—

How this market resolves

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price Kevin Acton as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 25 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.