Maine governor race 2026 odds: Pingree vs Charles
Prediction markets make Hannah Pingree (D) the favourite in the Maine governor's race, at 95% on Polymarket and 93% on Kalshi. Markets treat it as close to settled.
Odds updated 6 min ago · election day November 3
DHannah Pingree
94%
Polymarket 95% · Kalshi 93%
RRobert Charles
5%
Polymarket 5% · Kalshi 5%
Democrats 94%Independent <1%Republicans 5%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Democrats
- Chance it flips
- 6%
- Platforms disagree by
- 3 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DHannah Pingree95%93%94%
- RRobert Charles5%5%5%
- IRick Bennett—2%2%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Hannah Pingree (Democratic), at 94% on average across Polymarket (95%) and Kalshi (93%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Democrats. Markets give about a 6% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.