Georgia governor race 2026 odds: Bottoms vs Jackson
Prediction markets make Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) the favourite in the Georgia governor's race, at 61% on Polymarket and 59% on Kalshi. A win would flip the governorship from Republicans to Democrats.
Odds updated 7 min ago · election day November 3
DKeisha Lance Bottoms
60%
Polymarket 61% · Kalshi 59%
RRick Jackson
40%
Polymarket 39% · Kalshi 41%
Democrats 60%Republicans 40%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 60%
- Platforms disagree by
- 3 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DKeisha Lance Bottoms61%59%60%
- RRick Jackson39%41%40%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democratic), at 60% on average across Polymarket (61%) and Kalshi (59%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 60% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.