Georgia Senate race 2026 odds: Ossoff vs Collins
Prediction markets make Jon Ossoff (D) the favourite in the Georgia Senate race, at 96% on Polymarket and 95% on Kalshi. Markets treat it as close to settled.
Odds updated just now · election day November 3
DJon Ossoff
96%
Polymarket 96% · Kalshi 95%
RMike Collins
4%
Polymarket 4% · Kalshi 5%
Democrats 96%Republicans 4%
Race facts
- Office
- U.S. Senate
- Held by
- Democrats
- Chance it flips
- 4%
- Platforms disagree by
- 1 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DJon Ossoff96%95%96%
- RMike Collins4%5%4%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Jon Ossoff (Democratic), at 96% on average across Polymarket (96%) and Kalshi (95%).
Which party holds the seat now?
Democrats. Markets give about a 4% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.