Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:40 UTCCloses 27 Oct 2027 (in 12 mo)
Most likely: Gadi Eizenkot
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Gadi Eizenkot | 48% | ▲ 2.0 pts |
Benjamin Netanyahu | 29% | — |
Naftali Bennett | 13% | — |
Yossi Cohen | 5% | — |
Avigdor Lieberman | 4% | — |
Yuli Edelstein | 4% | — |
Itamar Ben Gvir | 2% | — |
Yair Lapid | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Gadi Eizenkot as the most likely outcome at 48% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 27 Oct 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.