Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 01:06 UTCCloses 28 Oct 2026 (in 4 days)
Most likely: Gadi Eizenkot
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Gadi Eizenkot | 50% | ▲ 1.6 pts |
Benjamin Netanyahu | 28% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Naftali Bennett | 16% | — |
Avigdor Lieberman | 2% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
Moshe Feiglin | <1% | — |
Israel Katz | <1% | — |
Yossi Cohen | <1% | — |
Yair Golan | <1% | — |
How this market resolves
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Gadi Eizenkot as the most likely outcome at 50% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 28 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.