Kentucky Senate race 2026 odds: Barr vs Booker
Prediction markets make Andy Barr (R) the favourite in the Kentucky Senate race, at 97% on Polymarket. Markets treat it as close to settled.
Odds updated 8 min ago · election day November 3
RAndy Barr
97%
Polymarket 97% · Kalshi —
DCharles Booker
3%
Polymarket 3% · Kalshi —
Democrats 3%Republicans 97%
Chance for each party, by platform
Race facts
- Office
- U.S. Senate
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 3%
- Platforms disagree by
- —
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- RAndy Barr97%—97%
- DCharles Booker3%—3%
Other Senate races to watch
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Andy Barr (Republican), at 97% on average across Polymarket (97%) and Kalshi (—).
Which party holds the seat now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 3% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.