Nebraska Senate race 2026 odds: Ricketts vs Osborn
Prediction markets make Pete Ricketts (R) the favourite in the Nebraska Senate race, at 74% on Polymarket and 76% on Kalshi. Republicans currently hold it, and markets give about a 25% chance it changes hands.
Odds updated 12 min ago · election day November 3
RPete Ricketts
75%
Polymarket 74% · Kalshi 76%
IDan Osborn
25%
Polymarket 27% · Kalshi 24%
Independent 25%Republicans 75%
Race facts
- Office
- U.S. Senate
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 25%
- Platforms disagree by
- 3 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- RPete Ricketts74%76%75%
- IDan Osborn27%24%25%
Other Senate races to watch
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Pete Ricketts (Republican), at 75% on average across Polymarket (74%) and Kalshi (76%).
Which party holds the seat now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 25% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.