North Carolina Senate race 2026 odds: Cooper vs Whatley
Prediction markets make Roy Cooper (D) the favourite in the North Carolina Senate race, at 97% on Polymarket and 96% on Kalshi. A win would flip the seat from Republicans to Democrats. Markets treat it as close to settled.
Odds updated 11 min ago · election day November 3
DRoy Cooper
96%
Polymarket 97% · Kalshi 96%
RMichael Whatley
4%
Polymarket 3% · Kalshi 4%
Democrats 96%Republicans 4%
Race facts
- Office
- U.S. Senate
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 96%
- Platforms disagree by
- 0 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DRoy Cooper97%96%96%
- RMichael Whatley3%4%4%
Other Senate races to watch
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Roy Cooper (Democratic), at 96% on average across Polymarket (97%) and Kalshi (96%).
Which party holds the seat now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 96% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.