Michigan governor race 2026 odds: Benson vs James
Prediction markets make Jocelyn Benson (D) the favourite in the Michigan governor's race, at 93% on Polymarket and 92% on Kalshi. Markets treat it as close to settled.
Odds updated 10 min ago · election day November 3
DJocelyn Benson
93%
Polymarket 93% · Kalshi 92%
RJohn James
7%
Polymarket 7% · Kalshi 8%
Democrats 93%Republicans 7%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Democrats
- Chance it flips
- 7%
- Platforms disagree by
- 1 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DJocelyn Benson93%92%93%
- RJohn James7%8%7%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Jocelyn Benson (Democratic), at 93% on average across Polymarket (93%) and Kalshi (92%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Democrats. Markets give about a 7% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.